Wrong wronger wrongest: PrognosesBursting lungs at speeds beyond 30km/h, worldwide demand of maximal 100 computers, 32 bit processors never for private use. And now strikes McKinsey.
Even the German prognosis with 1 million electric cars in Germany until 2020 is extreme low, but the prognosis of the McKinsey management consulting reminds me much on the 100 computers world wide demand.
Is there a liability for management consulting for crass wrong prognoses? Is it possible to make them liable for the crash of a company making very wrong decisions because of such prognoses?
I published last week the first press release about a patent to revolute the production of lithium batteries. I tried to find a first licensee and contacted a company, I expected they would want it immedeately. No, absolut no interest. There are studies in the business management that electric cars are long time away. I discussed 15 minutes at the telephone. I painted horror scenarios, when the first license of the patent goes to BYD or Thundersky. .....this woild be after the next oil price explosion the end of the European automotive industry. Cheap chinese electric cars with far superior battery technology. More than 2.-EUR per litre Diesel, Placards with BYD F3DM 16 kWh night time tariff electric power is cheaper than 1 litre Diesel. No, it did not help, the called-up thought, that he has much better consultants than I. Maybe McKinsey? What's the name of this company? I tell You when I have to write the obituary in some years. Wrong prognoses can be deadly.
The 750,000 electric cars worldwide are nearly reached. Sure June 2015 overstepped. |
