Consulting: the investor is lost

The difference between the pretended world of investment consulters and what happens in the real world. Explained with BYD as example.

  The broken eyeglasses

It's middle Septmeber. Surprisingly, my eyeglasses are broken. The optican means one hour repair time. What to do in this hour? I see a big consulting company, often to see in German television advertising. So I start a consulter test.

I inform the consulter about BYD, and my prognosis about the big crash of the European car industry and the victory of BYD on the car market. The consulter does not like a prognosis like this.

  Warren Buffett investiert in BYD Aktien

Only 2 weeks later the sensational message, Warren Buffett invests US$ 232 millions in BYD. You did not read about it? Maybe it's because You can not trust journalists at selecting sensational messages. Google Alerts brings all news listed in my personal alarm word list.

  Batteries to store wind energy

In this way, I saw also the reaction of consulters writing about this investment.

"It's a long time investment about batteries to store electric power from wind energy"

So, I see the BYD F3DM first time at the Geneva automobile salon Also ich sehe den BYD F3DM erstmals am Genfer Autosalon. I receive by Google Alerts the sensational message, starting at 9500.-EUR on the Chinese home market. I calculate, when this car comes for 22000,-EUR to Europe, this will shuffle up the European car industry.

Obviously, Warren Buffett did the same calculations, but there are many keeping the investors uninformed, or this consulters have no idea about the own absence of knowledge, because they think to be a stock market guru.

  A surprising fast development

January 2007, some few interested people came together for a lecture about peak oil in Traunstein. Only one year later is peak oil history. We have to react faster!

Austrian wins 55 millions at Euromillions
What does a simple human with 55 millions? I mean, say an amount of money and I will work out a plan, what to do best with it.

What comes faster? $150 oil price or my 50th birthday
Today we have July 3rd 2008. July 9th is my birthday. Will the oil price jump before over $150? Will it be possible to wake up the politicians.

Punch and judy show stock exchange
The history of 2008: The oil price increases, a poseur cries ''recession'', the oil price decreases, the stock market cheers, the share prices increase, the oil price increases...

Degeneration stock market
The original idea had been great: Many people finance awesome plans like the railway, telephon, electric light, a single one has not the chance to effort all the money.

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